ATSUSHI OKAZAKI

Associate Professor, Chiba University


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E-mail: atsushi.okazaki@chiba-u.jp
Phone: +81-43-290-3834
1-33 Yayoi-cho, Inage, Chiba, Chiba, 263-0022, Japan


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Education:

Appointments:

Achievements:

Publications with reviews

“†” indicates my advisee’s work

Submitted/In revision

  1. Birkel, C., Miller, J., Turk, H., Vystavna, Y., Soulsby, C., Warter, M. M., Tetzlaff, D., Durán-Quesada, A. M., Yoshimura, K., Bong, H., Okazaki, A., Yang, Y., Pesántez, J., Sánchez‐Murillo, R., Watson, A., Diagnosing Spatial Climate Model Uncertainty using Water Isotope Tracers, submitted to communications earth & environment
  2. Kawasaki, F., †Kurosawa, K., Okazaki, A., Kotsuki, S., Ensemble Forecast Updates without Model Re-integration Based on Ultra-rapid Data Assimilation: Idealized Experiments with a Heavy Rainfall Case, submitted to SOLA
  3. Cheng, J., Cauquoin, A., Okazaki, A., Truax, O., Sinha, A., Li, H., Li, S., Xoplaki, E., Yoshimura, K., A global dataset of climate and hydroclimate reconstructions over the Common Era, submitted to Scientific Data
  4. †Suzumura, T., Oda, M., Okazaki, A., Methodology for Research on Old Diaries as Climate Proxies: Bridging Hydrology and History, submitted to Journal of Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources, Technical Note)
  5. †Kurosawa, K., Okazaki, A., Kawasaki, F., Yasunaga, K., Hamada, A., Kotsuki, S., Ensemble Predictions Enable Robust and Effective Intervention Design Under Forecast Uncertainty in Realistic Weather Scenarios, submitted to npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
  6. Kawasaki, F., Okazaki, A., Kurosawa, K., Kotsuki, S., Exploring Ultra Rapid Data Assimilation Based on Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter with the Lorenz 96 Model, submitted to QJRMS arXiv
  7. Hamamoto, S., Iizuka, Y., Aizawa, T., Kawakami, K., Matsumoto, M., Matoba, S., Bong, H., Yoshimura, K., Okazaki, A., Uemura, R., Isotope-based Ice Core Age Scale Demonstrating Multi-Month Climate Variability Over the Past 150 Years in SE-Dome Greenland. submitted to CP EGUsphere

Published/In print

  1. Accepted †Ohtaki, H., Kurosawa, K., Okazaki, A., Optimization of Control Sites in Weather Control based on Ensemble Sensitivity -A Case Study with Lorenz-96 Model-, JJSCE, 2027.
  2. Accepted †Manabe, S., Okazaki, A., A Historical Weather Reconstruction Method Using Subjective Qualitative Descriptions in Diaries, JJSCE, 2027.
  3. Accepted Li, Y., Okazaki, A., Nitta, T., Cauquoin, A., Spatially adaptive neighboring information improves constraints on local temperature projections, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2026.
  4. Accepted Takeda, Y., Watanabe, S., Utsumi, N., Itsumi, Y., Okazaki, A., Exploring the Utility of a Large-Ensemble Climate Projection Database for Projecting Meteorological Drought Risk in Small Island Regions, J. Japan Soc. Hydrol. and Water Resour., Vol. 39, No.4, pp. 1-10, 2026. (in Japanese)
  5. Accepted Takeshima, A., Shiraishi, K., Okazaki, A., Tsuyuki, T., Kotsuki, S., Bridging Artificial Intelligence and Data Assimilation: The First Data-driven Ensemble Forecasting System ClimaX-LETKF, Atmospheric Science Letters, 2026. arXiv
  6. Shiraishi, K., Muto, Y., Okazaki, A., Kotsuki, S., Wasserstein GAN-based precipitation downscaling with optimal transport for enhancing perceptual realism, Prog Earth Planet Sci 13, 29, 2026. arXiv PEPS
  7. Zhang, Z., Susuki, Y., and Okazaki, A., Extracting transient Koopman modes from short-term weather simulations with sparsity-promoting dynamic mode decomposition, NOLTA, IEICE, 17, 3, 1333-1361, 2026. IEICE
  8. Higuchi, Y., Nagai, R., Bai, Y., Okazaki, A., Wakamiya, N., Ogura, M., Development and Evaluation of a Black-Box Optimization Framework for Weather-Intervention Design, Journal of Computational Science, 97, 102850, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocs.2026.102850, 2026. JCS
  9. Li, Y., Cauquoin, A., Okazaki, A., Yoshimura, K., Improved response of δ18Osw in the Pacific Ocean to atmosphere-ocean interaction and ENSO using the isotope-enabled Fully Coupled Model MIROC6-iso, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 18, e2025MS005082, 2026. JAMES Press
  10. Miyazawa, K., Kurosawa, K., Shiraishi, K., Okazaki, A., Kotsuki, S., Prediction of precipitation using SWIN-Unet and meso-scale NWP analytical data, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 82, 16, 25-16001, https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.25-16001, 2026. (in Japanese) JJSCE
  11. Okazaki, A., Watanabe, S., Yamada, M., Abe, S., Kotsuki, S., Ikeuchi, K., Potential of super-resolution for flood impact assessment of climate change, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 82, 16, 25-16127, https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.25-16127, 2026. (in Japanese) JJSCE
  12. Bong, H., LeGrande, A.N., Dee, S., Zhu, J., Cauquoin, A., Fiorella, R.P., Ding, Q., Dutrievoz, N., Tanoue, M., Frazer, M., Sarkar, M., Agosta, C., Yoshimura, K., Werner, M., Okazaki, A., Risi, C., Steen-Larsen, H.C., Casado, M., Wahl, S., Nusbaumer, J., Worden, J., Good, S., Bailey, A., Schneider, M., Noël, S., Mandal, S., Bowman, K., Li, Y., and Schmidt, G.A., Water Isotope Model Intercomparison Project (WisoMIP): Present-day Climate, JGR-Atmos, e2025JD044985, 2026. ESSOA JGR-A Press
  13. Mitsui, T., Kotsuki, S., Fujiwara, N., Okazaki, A., Tokuda, K., Bottom-up approach for mitigating extreme events under limited intervention options: a case study with Lorenz 96, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 457–469, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-457-2025, 2025. EGUsphere NPG
  14. Okazaki, A., Carrio, D., Dalaiden, Q., Harrison-Lofthouse, J., Kotsuki, S., Yoshimura, K., Observation error estimation in climate proxies with data assimilation and innovation statistics, Clim. Past, 21, 1801–1819, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-21-1801-2025, 2025. EGUsphere CP
  15. Cheng, J., Cauquoin, A., Yang, Y., Okazaki, A., and Yoshimura, K., Contrasting Impacts of ENSO Evolution on the Interannual Variation of Precipitation Isotopes over the Tibetan Plateau, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 130, e2025JD0435842025, 2025. JGR-A
  16. Kotsuki, S., Shiraishi, K., Okazaki, A., Ensemble data assimilation to diagnose AI-based weather prediction model: A case with ClimaX version 0.3.1., Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 7215–7225, 2025. EGUsphere GMD
  17. †Kurosawa, K., Okazaki, A., Kawasaki, F., Kotsuki, K., Bridging Data Assimilation and Control: Ensemble Model Predictive Control for High-Dimensional Nonlinear Systems, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 293–307, 2025. EGUsphere NPG
  18. Kino, K., Okazaki, A., Bong, H., Yoshimura, K., Assessing synoptic-scale variability in isotope-enabled climate models: challenges for water vapor isotopes over the Southern Ocean, Hydrological Research Letters, 19, 2, 112-119, https://doi.org/10.3178/hrl.24-00034, 2025. HRL
  19. Otsuka, T., Okazaki, A., Masaki, O., Kotsuki, S., Convex Optimization of Initial Perturbations toward Quantitative Weather Control, SOLA, 21, 158-166, https://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2025-020, 2025. arXiv SOLA
  20. Ishidoya, S., Sugawara, S., Okazaki. A., First detection of variations in present day’s delta-18O of atmospheric O2 and its application to evaluate changes in oxygen, carbon, and water cycles., Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 1965–1987, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-1965-2025, 2025. ACP Press
  21. Cauquoin, A., Gusyev, M., Bong, H., Okazaki, A., Yoshimura, K., Modeling tritium release to the atmosphere during the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident and application to estimating post-accident water system transit times. Environ. Sci. Pollut. Res., https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-025-35919-1, 2025. ESPR
  22. Inuki, K., Kaneko, R., Okazaki, A., Kotsuki, S., Reconstructing Rankine Vortices from Doppler wind data using deep-learning-based generative models, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 82, 16, 24-16185, https://doi.org/10.2208/jscejj.24-16185, 2025. (in Japanese) JJJSCE
  23. Morita, M., Kajita, H., Okazaki, A., Ueda, N., Umeda, K., Yamaoka, K., Uchida, E., Kawahata, H., Evaluation of Bicarbonate Flux through Groundwater and River Water at the Western Foothill of Mt. Chokai, Geochemical Journal, 58, 6, 267-275, 2024. GJ
  24. Ketsuka, R., Muto, Y., Okazaki, A., Kotsuki, S., Optimizing investment policies for flood disaster in a mathematical model with reinforcement learning, Artificial Intelligence and Data Science, 5, 3, 186-193, https://doi.org/10.11532/jsceiii.5.3_186, 2024. (in Japanese) JSCEIII
  25. Kino, K., Cauquoin, A., Okazaki. A., Oki, T. and Yoshimura, K., Heavy Water Isotope Precipitation in Inland East Antarctica Accompanied by Strong Southern Westerly Winds during the Last Glacial Maximum, Geophys. Res. Let., 2024. GRL
  26. Cauquoin, A., Fourre, E., Landais, A., Okazaki, A., Yoshimura, K., Modeling natural tritium in precipitation and its dependence on decadal variations of solar activity using the atmospheric general circulation model MIROC5-iso, JGR-Atmos, 2024. JGR-A
  27. Bong, H., Cauquoin, A., Okazaki, A., Chang, E.-C., Werner, M., Wei, Z., Yeo, N., and Yoshimura, K., Process-based inter-comparison of water isotope-enabled models and reanalysis nudging effects, JGR-Atmos, 129, e2023JD038719, 2024. JGR-A
  28. Li. Y., Cauquoin, A., Okazaki. A., and Yoshimura, K., Development of the isotope version of the fully coupled climate model MIROC6-iso, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers,12, 2, 23-16035, 2024. JJSCE
  29. Shoji, S., Okazaki, A., Yoshimura, K., Impact of proxies and prior estimates on data assimilation using isotope ratios for the climate reconstruction of the last millennium, Earth and Space Science, 9, e2020EA001618, 2022. ESS
  30. Zhang, Y., Sieron, S. B., Lu, Y., Chen, X., Nystrom, R. G., Minamide, M., Chan, M.-Y., Hartman, C. M., Yao, Z., Ruppert J. H., Okazaki, A., Greybush, S. J., Clothiaux, E. E., Zhang, F., Ensemble-Based Assimilation of Satellite All-Sky Microwave Radiances Improves Intensity and Rainfall Predictions for Hurricane Harvey (2017). Geophysical Research Letters, 48, e2021GL096410, 2021. GRL
  31. Kino, K., Okazaki, A., Cauquoin, A., Yoshimura, K., Contribution of the Southern Annular Mode on variations in water isotopes of daily precipitation at Dome Fuji, East Antarctica, JGR-Atmos, 126, e2021JD035397, 2021. JGR-A
  32. Okazaki, A., Miyoshi, T., Yoshimura, K., Greybush, S. J., and Zhang, F., Revisiting online and offline data assimilation comparison for paleoclimate reconstruction: an idealized OSSE study, 126, e2020JD034214, JGR-Atmos, 2021. JGR-A
  33. Taylor, J., Okazaki, A., Honda, T., Kotsuji, S., Yamaji, M., Kubota, T., Oki, R., Iguchi, T. and Miyoshi, T., Oversampling Reflectivity Observations from a Geostationary Precipitation Radar Satellite: Impact on Typhoon Forecasts within an OSSE Framework, JAMES, 2021. JAMES Press Media
  34. Shoji, S., Okazaki, A., Yoshimura, K., Comparative study towards millennium reanalysis by data assimilation using isotope ratios of proxies, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 65, I_121-126, 2020. (in Japanese) JJSCE
  35. Kotsuki, S., Pensoneault, A., Okazaki, A., Miyoshi, T. Weight structure of the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter: A case with an intermediate atmospheric general circulation model. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 146, 3399–3415, 2020. QJRMS
  36. Okazaki, A., Honda, T., Kotsuki, S., Yamaji, M., Kubota, T., Oki, R., Iguchi, T., and Miyoshi, T., Simulating precipitation radar observations from a geostationary satellite, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 12, 3985-3996, 2019. AMT
  37. Okazaki, A., and Yoshimura, K., Global evaluation of proxy models for stable water isotopes with realistic atmospheric forcing, JGR-Atmos, 124, 8972– 8993, 2019. JGR-A
  38. Shoji, S., Okazaki, A., and Yoshimura, K., Study on spatiotemporal characteristic of observation impact in proxy data assimilation, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 74 (5), I_49-I_54, 2018. (in Japanese) JJSCE
  39. Hydro 2k Consortium, Comparing proxy and model estimates of hydroclimate variability and change over the Common Era, Clim. Past., 13, 1851-1900, 2017. CP
  40. Okazaki, A., and K. Yoshimura, Development and evaluation of a system of proxy data assimilation for paleoclimate reconstruction, Clim. Past, 13, 379-393, 2017. CP
  41. Wei, Z., K. Yoshimura, A. Okazaki, K. Ono, W. Kim, M. Yokoi, C.-T. Lai, Understanding the variability of water isotopologues in near-surface atmospheric moisture over a humid subtropical rice paddy in Tsukuba, Japan, J. Hydrology, 533, 91-102, 2016. J. Hydrology
  42. Wei, Z., K. Yoshimura, A. Okazaki, W. Kim, Z. Liu, M. Yokoi, Partitioning of evapotranspiration using high frequency water vapor isotopic measurement over a paddy field, Water Resour. Res., 51(5), 3716-3729, 2015. WRR
  43. Okazaki, A., Y. Satoh, G. Tremoy, F. Vimeux, R. Scheepmaker, and K. Yoshimura, Interannual variation of vapor isotope in West Africa and its relation to ENSO, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 15, 3193-3204, 2015. ACP
  44. Wei, Z., A. Okazaki, H. Maeda, Y. Satoh, M. Kiguchi, K. Noda, M. Koike, W. Kim, Z. Liu, and K. Yoshimura, Investigating vegetation-atmosphere water exchange by using high frequency spectroscopy vapor isotope observations, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1, 70, 181-186, 2014. JJSCE
  45. Okazaki, A., P. J.-F. Yeh, K. Yoshimura, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and T. Oki, Changes in Flood Risk under Global Warming Estimated Using MIROC5 and the Discharge Probability Index, J. Meteor Soc. Japan, 90(4), 509-524, 2012. JMSJ

Proceedings with review

  1. Z. Zhang, Y. Susuki, A. Okazaki, Sparsity-promoting dynamic mode decomposition applied to sea surface temperature fields, SICE Festival 2025 with Annual Conference, Thailand, September 2025.
  2. Z. Zhang, Y. Susuki, A. Okazaki, Koopman mode decomposition of transient weather dynamics: A case study on short-term humidity ratio data, International Symposium on Nonlinear Theory and its Applications, Japan, October 2025.
  3. Higuchi, Y., Nagai, R., Okazaki, A., Ogura, M., and Wakamiya, N., Comparative Analysis of Black-Box Optimization Methods for Weather Intervention Design, ICCS2025, LNCS 15903, 194-209, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-97626-1_14, 2025. arXiv ICCS2025

Books

  1. 松本朋哉, 藤岡悠一郎, 渡部哲史, 荒野邦雄, 田尻義了, 鬼丸武史(編)「水共生学シリーズ2 ゆらぐ水環境を生きる:恵みの水, 災いの水」九州大学出版, ISBN:978-4-7985-0407-0, 2026.

Presentations (selected only)

  1. Okazaki, A., Tanoue, M., Kino, K., Cauquoin, A., Yoshimura, K., Estimation of Parameters in an Isotope-Enabled GCM with Data Assimilation and Satellite-Based Observations, JpGU Meeting 2024, 26-31 May 2024, Chiba, Japan. (Invited)
  2. Okazaki, A., Ultra-High Spatiotemporal Resolution Reconstruction of the Climate around Japan with Large Ensemble of Climate Simulations and Old Documents, JpGU Meeting 2024, 26-31 May 2024, Chiba, Japan. (Invited)
  3. Okazaki, A., Kotsuki, S., Carrio, D., Yoshimura, K., Climate reconstruction with observation errors estimated by innovation statistics, JpGU Meeting 2023, Chiba, Japan, 21-26 May 2023. (Invited poster)
  4. Okazaki, A., Observation Error Estimation for Climate Proxies with Innovation Statistics, DA Seminar, RIKEN R-CCS, Kobe, Japan, 14 Nov. 2022. (Invited)
  5. Okazaki, A. and Yoshimura, K., Paleoclimate Reconstruction with Isotope-Enabled GCM and Proxy System Models, IsoNet 2022, Virtual Seminar, 6 Oct. 2022.(Invited)
  6. 岡崎淳史、データ同化とイノベーション統計を用いた古気候復元と気候プロキシに含まれる誤差の推定、日本地球化学第69回年会、高知、7-9 Sep 2022. (Invited)
  7. Okazaki, A. and Yoshimura, K., Evaluation of proxy system models for stable water isotopes and introduction of their application to paleoclimate studies, JpGU2021, 4 Jun. 2021. (Invited)
  8. Okazaki, A., Honda, T., Kotsuki, S., Miyoshi, T., Precipitation radar data assimilation with an ensemble Kalman filter: an observing system simulation experiment for a typhoon case, ADAPT seminar, PSU, PA, US, Mar 29 2019. (Invited)
  9. 2018 May, Okazaki, A., Miyoshi, T., Yoshimura, K., Zhang, F., Toward online data assimilation for the millennium reanalysis, A-CC29, JpGU 2018, Makuhari, Chiba, Japan, May 20-24 2018. (Invited)
  10. 2017 May, Atsushi Okazaki, Development and evaluation of isotopic proxy data assimilation system, First workshop of the PAGES working group on Paleoclimate Reanalyses, Data Assimilation and Proxy System modelling (DAPS), Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium, 29 May-1 Jun 2017. (Invited)
  11. 2017 May, Yoshimura, K., Okazaki, A., and Neluwala, P., Challenges for millennium reanalysis, JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017, Makuhari, Japan, 20-25 May, 2017. (Invited)
  12. 2016 Oct., Okazaki, A., Basics of data assimilation and its application to paleoclimate, Kongju National University, Gongju, Korea, 17-21 Oct., 2016. (Invited)

Full list is available HERE

Grants:

Full list is available HERE

Computer Resources

Awards & Honors:

External Services:

Paper reviewer

Atmosphere (2) Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (1) Climate Dynamics (2) Earth and Space Science (1) Geochemical Journal (1) Geophysical Research Letters (1) Geoscience Data Journal (1) Geoscientific Model Development (1) Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (1) Journal of Climate (1) Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmosphere (1) Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences (1) Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan (2) Nature (2) Nature Communications (1) Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (1) PEPS (1) Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (1) Tellus-A (1)

Editorial board

Committee member